PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd5196bdf50199e195c58a6aff2114cc0e455932c

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
862
Open portfolio
$230.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded862
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0180.024$133.33+$33.33
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0900.018$97.22−$402.78
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00−$4.9k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? · No0.1800.000$0.00−$1.0k
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00−$2.1k
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$800.00
Iran full airspace closure by July 31? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$300.00
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00−$558.47

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 06:04Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.007$32.30
10-29 05:28Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.008$2.79
10-29 05:28Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0070005443$49.00
10-29 05:26Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.008$3.04
10-29 05:24Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.0080686957$37.12
10-28 05:55Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.044$886.58
10-28 05:53Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.049$7.60
10-28 05:53Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.049$7.60
10-28 02:07Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.016$96.00
10-28 02:07Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.017$68.00
10-27 12:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.25$750.00
10-27 10:23Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.28$70.05
10-22 13:16Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.07$114.03
10-20 07:07Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$0.80
10-20 07:03US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?BUY0.18$72.09
Trader 0xd519…932c · PolyBot Pro