PolyBot

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Traders

0xD512f1092543dbA882AA2c594127118A720079B3-1768846424397

0xd512f1092543dba882aa2c594127118a720079b3

Realised P&L
$2.9k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.2680.121$1.2k−$1.4k
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.006$413.84+$160.09
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.004$282.16+$46.27
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.3500.175$261.55−$261.42
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0920.045$226.50−$236.48
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0050.010$209.66+$109.00
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.7690.845$180.43+$16.27
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.3220.070$77.10−$277.90
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.002$63.64−$59.35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0850.428$55.26+$44.26
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.024$40.58−$174.52
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.3200.135$40.23−$55.13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2350.147$32.01−$18.99
Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0320.031$20.25−$0.74
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.0670.044$13.19−$6.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 18:27Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-17 18:26Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-16 17:36Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.135999994$2.00
10-16 17:36Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.135999994$2.00
10-16 17:36Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1359999971$3.00
10-16 17:36Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1359999996$20.00
10-16 17:36Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1332273345$50.00
10-16 17:35Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.1309999998$10.00
10-16 11:50Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?SELL0.18$1.80
10-13 02:32Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-12 02:58Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?SELL0.05$6.63
09-29 10:13Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.08$5.00
09-28 13:11Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0789999991$5.00
09-28 13:10Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0783663297$10.00
09-27 18:51Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.0766169099$1.00