0xD512f1092543dbA882AA2c594127118A720079B3-1768846424397
0xd512f1092543dba882aa2c594127118a720079b3
- Realised P&L
- $2.9k
- Volume
- $1.73M
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.433US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?
- +$4.0kat 0.046US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$2.9kat 0.311Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.582Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
- +$1.1kat 0.125Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 18:27 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 18:26 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 17:36 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.135999994 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 17:36 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.135999994 | $2.00 |
| 10-16 17:36 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1359999971 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 17:36 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1359999996 | $20.00 |
| 10-16 17:36 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1332273345 | $50.00 |
| 10-16 17:35 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1309999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 11:50 | Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 10-13 02:32 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 02:58 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $6.63 |
| 09-29 10:13 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 13:11 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0789999991 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0783663297 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 18:51 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0766169099 | $1.00 |