fhilips202
0xd50c26f9e8fd4fb84f7c8cbbef387907130c010f
- Realised P&L
- $158.92
- Volume
- $33.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,360
- Open portfolio
- $626.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,360
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration2.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.38at 0.552Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?
- +$14.01at 0.029Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$9.09at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?
- +$9.09at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 28?
- +$9.09at 0.091Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 22:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.83 |
| 10-09 19:37 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C or higher on October 11? | BUY | 0.979 | $10.88 |
| 10-09 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or higher on October 11? | BUY | 0.979 | $10.88 |
| 10-09 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.989 | $10.99 |
| 10-09 18:40 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.979 | $3.03 |
| 10-09 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.987 | $0.15 |
| 10-09 13:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $10.78 |
| 10-09 13:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.89 |
| 10-09 12:38 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.96 |
| 10-09 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $10.78 |
| 10-09 10:21 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 6°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.97 | $0.92 |
| 10-09 02:01 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $11.00 |
| 10-08 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 10? | BUY | 0.98 | $0.32 |
| 10-08 20:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.977 | $10.85 |
| 10-08 16:56 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.97 | $7.62 |