denizguvenc
0xd4fa0a4cc29d7f7fcee19f56b2146167cf311eb3
- Realised P&L
- $-11.02
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $3.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No | 0.261 | 0.152 | $1.17 | −$0.83 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.145 | $0.74 | −$1.26 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.145 | $0.72 | −$1.42 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.013 | $0.29 | −$0.71 |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.040 | $0.19 | −$0.81 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? · No | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 09:16 | US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999015 | $2.14 |
| 06-08 09:14 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 09:13 | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0829999638 | $2.00 |
| 06-08 09:05 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 06-08 09:05 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027? | BUY | 0.045999957 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 09:03 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.260999912 | $2.00 |
| 06-08 09:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 09:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 09:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005999994 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 09:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |