0xd4f72e8283472ae7ecef405cd802f4b18e9c3311
0xd4f72e8283472ae7ecef405cd802f4b18e9c3311
- Realised P&L
- $183.78
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $2.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i vs. Arizona State · Hawai'i | 0.040 | 0.015 | $2.84 | −$4.49 |
| Texas Tech vs. Colorado · Colorado | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.24 |
| Steelers vs. Browns · Steelers | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.27 |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss · LSU | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.16 |
| Alabama vs. Mississippi State · Mississippi State | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.56 |
| Washington vs. USC · Washington | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.56 |
| Giants vs. Rams · Giants | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.50 |
| Rice vs. East Carolina · Rice | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.26 |
| Arizona vs. West Virginia · West Virginia | 0.172 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.37 |
| Louisville vs. NC State · Louisville | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.14 |
| USC vs. Rutgers · Rutgers | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.18 |
| Virginia Tech vs. Maryland · Maryland | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.38 |
| Toledo vs. Ball State · Ball State | 0.131 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$64.90at 0.230Raiders vs. Chargers
- +$44.07at 0.270Iowa vs. Michigan
- +$43.59at 0.260Raiders vs. Saints
- +$41.78at 0.306Montana State vs. Idaho
- +$41.50at 0.318Mississippi State vs. South Carolina
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 03:32 | Hawai'i vs. Arizona State | BUY | 0.04 | $7.33 |
| 10-10 19:02 | Rice vs. East Carolina | BUY | 0.2899999988 | $14.26 |
| 10-10 18:32 | Arizona vs. West Virginia | BUY | 0.1724251223 | $11.37 |
| 10-04 01:25 | Washington vs. USC | BUY | 0.3599999951 | $14.56 |
| 10-04 00:39 | Texas Tech vs. Colorado | BUY | 0.32 | $25.24 |
| 10-03 22:46 | Louisville vs. NC State | BUY | 0.2699999952 | $11.14 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Toledo vs. Ball State | BUY | 0.1312751678 | $9.78 |
| 10-03 19:54 | Syracuse vs. UConn | SELL | 0.72 | $32.64 |
| 10-03 19:19 | Syracuse vs. UConn | BUY | 0.256999996 | $11.65 |
| 10-03 17:34 | Alabama vs. Mississippi State | BUY | 0.1699999996 | $14.56 |
| 10-03 03:52 | Montana State vs. Idaho | BUY | 0.2999999967 | $18.07 |
| 10-03 01:07 | Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech | BUY | 0.4 | $16.22 |
| 10-02 03:24 | Steelers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.189999998 | $13.27 |
| 09-27 23:21 | Raiders vs. Saints | SELL | 0.8 | $64.58 |
| 09-27 22:48 | Raiders vs. Saints | BUY | 0.2599999975 | $20.99 |