PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd4f68ce2687d169ffc72f4bee1f02872b91216cf

0xd4f68ce2687d169ffc72f4bee1f02872b91216cf

Realised P&L
$-123.20
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
282
Open portfolio
$0.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded282
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.5900.585$0.99−$0.01
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-10-07? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Antofagasta: Juan Carlos Prado vs Joao Lucas Da Silva · Juan Carlos Prado0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 20:34Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-10 16:12Antofagasta: Juan Carlos Prado vs Joao Lucas Da SilvaBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-07 21:12Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.32$1.00
10-01 18:08Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
09-27 21:24Will Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-26 10:03Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd HarrisBUY0.2099999895$1.00
09-25 19:15Will Poland win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-25 14:32St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Jesper de JongBUY0.4199998908$1.00
09-25 14:31St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Jesper de JongSELL0.38$0.65
09-25 14:30St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Jesper de JongBUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-25 14:29Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo GastonBUY0.32$1.00
09-25 14:02Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
09-25 12:14Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo GastonBUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-25 11:38Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-25 10:43Hangzhou Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey RublevBUY0.74$1.00