0xd4f68ce2687d169ffc72f4bee1f02872b91216cf
0xd4f68ce2687d169ffc72f4bee1f02872b91216cf
- Realised P&L
- $-123.20
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 282
- Open portfolio
- $0.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded282
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.585 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-10-07? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Antofagasta: Juan Carlos Prado vs Joao Lucas Da Silva · Juan Carlos Prado | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.06at 0.152US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
- +$5.86at 0.268Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderi
- +$4.87at 0.173Iasi Open: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Paula Badosa
- +$4.47at 0.195Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$4.32at 0.236Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayh
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:34 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 16:12 | Antofagasta: Juan Carlos Prado vs Joao Lucas Da Silva | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 21:12 | Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:08 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 21:24 | Will Gimnasia Y Tiro de Salta win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:03 | Chengdu Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Lloyd Harris | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 19:15 | Will Poland win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:32 | St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Jesper de Jong | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:31 | St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Jesper de Jong | SELL | 0.38 | $0.65 |
| 09-25 14:30 | St. Tropez: Harold Mayot vs Jesper de Jong | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:29 | Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 14:02 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 12:14 | Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Hugo Gaston | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 11:38 | Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 10:43 | Hangzhou Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |