PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd4F06a43D9a8C919aD1C5bf53b3952b68845D8C3-1775223911115

0xd4f06a43d9a8c919ad1c5bf53b3952b68845d8c3

Realised P&L
$-165.64
Volume
$6.0k
Markets traded
437
Open portfolio
$229.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded437
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8300.925$105.23+$10.81
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? · No0.7430.950$85.98+$18.69
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes0.1700.065$38.24−$61.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-06 14:33Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8299999996$94.42
05-06 14:28Will GameStop acquire eBay?BUY0.1699999986$100.00
05-06 14:28Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?BUY0.7434917429$67.29
04-09 23:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETSELL0.46$11.38
04-09 23:36Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.5899999937$14.15
04-09 23:27Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETSELL0.53$13.12
04-09 23:26Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETBUY0.5899999973$14.16
04-09 23:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETSELL0.65$15.57
04-09 23:20Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ETBUY0.6099999858$14.20
04-09 23:16Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSELL0.81$17.50
04-09 23:15Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETBUY0.6799999873$14.35
04-09 23:01Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSELL0.59$13.66
04-09 23:00Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETBUY0.6240536184$14.05
04-09 22:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSELL0.54$13.86
04-09 22:56Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETBUY0.5699999853$14.17