0xd4F06a43D9a8C919aD1C5bf53b3952b68845D8C3-1775223911115
0xd4f06a43d9a8c919ad1c5bf53b3952b68845d8c3
- Realised P&L
- $-165.64
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 437
- Open portfolio
- $229.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded437
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration70.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.925 | $105.23 | +$10.81 |
| Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? · No | 0.743 | 0.950 | $85.98 | +$18.69 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.065 | $38.24 | −$61.76 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.16at 0.243Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
- +$5.37at 0.608Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$4.88at 0.558Ethereum Up or Down - April 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
- +$4.42at 0.653Solana Up or Down - April 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
- +$3.92at 0.643XRP Up or Down - April 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-06 14:33 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8299999996 | $94.42 |
| 05-06 14:28 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BUY | 0.1699999986 | $100.00 |
| 05-06 14:28 | Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.7434917429 | $67.29 |
| 04-09 23:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $11.38 |
| 04-09 23:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999937 | $14.15 |
| 04-09 23:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $13.12 |
| 04-09 23:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5899999973 | $14.16 |
| 04-09 23:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $15.57 |
| 04-09 23:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999858 | $14.20 |
| 04-09 23:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $17.50 |
| 04-09 23:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999873 | $14.35 |
| 04-09 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $13.66 |
| 04-09 23:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6240536184 | $14.05 |
| 04-09 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | SELL | 0.54 | $13.86 |
| 04-09 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5699999853 | $14.17 |