d0938030589d
0xd4edb15cdf9bcd60608a28fe372386a72a44895c
- Realised P&L
- $-428.39
- Volume
- $26.1k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $619.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Knicks · Wizards | 0.330 | 0.345 | $62.73 | +$2.73 |
| Predators vs. Canadiens · Predators | 0.400 | 0.415 | $62.25 | +$2.25 |
| Pelicans vs. Heat · Pelicans | 0.290 | 0.295 | $60.97 | +$0.97 |
| Sharks vs. Blues · Sharks | 0.410 | 0.405 | $59.27 | −$0.73 |
| 76ers vs. Nets · Nets | 0.280 | 0.265 | $56.79 | −$3.21 |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) · Bruins | 0.690 | 0.885 | $51.30 | +$11.30 |
| Celtics vs. Cavaliers · Celtics | 0.570 | 0.465 | $48.95 | −$11.05 |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) · Stars | 0.730 | 0.870 | $47.67 | +$7.67 |
| Spread: Canadiens (-1.5) · Predators | 0.620 | 0.660 | $42.58 | +$2.58 |
| Spread: Blues (-1.5) · Sharks | 0.640 | 0.635 | $39.69 | −$0.31 |
| Stars vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.480 | 0.315 | $39.38 | −$20.63 |
| Wild vs. Lightning · Wild | 0.430 | 0.155 | $21.63 | −$38.37 |
| Spread: Lightning (-1.5) · Wild | 0.650 | 0.335 | $20.62 | −$19.38 |
| Canucks vs. Hurricanes · Canucks | 0.240 | 0.023 | $5.75 | −$54.25 |
| New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$195.82at 0.239Panthers vs. Lightning
- +$129.61at 0.300St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$109.77at 0.331Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
- +$99.72at 0.351Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
- +$96.92at 0.361Ducks vs. Golden Knights
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 23:29 | Spread: Blues (-1.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 23:26 | Sharks vs. Blues | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 23:05 | 76ers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.2799999991 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 23:00 | Pelicans vs. Heat | BUY | 0.2903033822 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 22:53 | Wizards vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 22:38 | Stars vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.48 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 22:33 | Spread: Lightning (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6499999951 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 22:33 | Wild vs. Lightning | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 22:30 | Spread: Canadiens (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6199999944 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 22:27 | Canucks vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.24 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 22:25 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 22:24 | Spread: Sabres (-1.5) | BUY | 0.7299999974 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 22:23 | Predators vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.4 | $60.00 |
| 10-08 22:22 | Spread: Utah (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $40.00 |
| 10-08 03:13 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | SELL | 0.99 | $148.50 |