0xD4Df084594A846292D94688c228D3013aD7E2f60-1768813999688
0xd4df084594a846292d94688c228d3013ad7e2f60
- Realised P&L
- $-22.16
- Volume
- $3.1k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $3.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.305 | $2.36 | −$0.42 |
| Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.019 | $1.19 | −$5.72 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Australian Open Men's: Grigor Dimitrov vs Tomas Machac · Dimitrov | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud · Ruud | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzic · Ruzic | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.43at 0.120Australian Open Men's: James Duckworth vs Dino Prizmic
- +$-0.31at 0.490Trump out as President before GTA VI?
- +$-0.89at 0.210Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$-1.18at 0.074Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
- +$-15.90at 0.144Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 21:55 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3599999275 | $2.78 |
| 05-04 20:54 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.83 |
| 05-04 20:42 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.41 |
| 05-04 20:40 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.14 |
| 02-22 01:14 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 02-22 01:13 | Trump out as President by March 31? | BUY | 0.0279999866 | $2.00 |
| 02-22 01:13 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.48 | $5.95 |
| 02-02 23:04 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 02-02 23:04 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 01-31 16:58 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.00 |
| 01-31 16:57 | Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? | SELL | 0.056 | $1.57 |
| 01-31 16:52 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 01-31 16:52 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.38 |
| 01-27 01:16 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 01-27 01:15 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | SELL | 0.045 | $1.82 |