PolyBot

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Traders

0xD4Df084594A846292D94688c228D3013aD7E2f60-1768813999688

0xd4df084594a846292d94688c228d3013ad7e2f60

Realised P&L
$-22.16
Volume
$3.1k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$3.55

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.305$2.36$0.42
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026? · Yes0.1100.019$1.19$5.72
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.0050.000$0.00$7.00
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$2.00
Australian Open Men's: Grigor Dimitrov vs Tomas Machac · Dimitrov0.0800.000$0.00$2.00
Trump out as President by March 31? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$2.00
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$2.00
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Casper Ruud · Ruud0.1200.000$0.00$2.00
Australian Open Women's: Naomi Osaka vs Antonia Ruzic · Ruzic0.3000.000$0.00$3.00
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Australian Open? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 21:55Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3599999275$2.78
05-04 20:54Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.09$2.83
05-04 20:42Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY0.14$4.41
05-04 20:40Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL0.12$1.14
02-22 01:14US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
02-22 01:13Trump out as President by March 31?BUY0.0279999866$2.00
02-22 01:13Trump out as President before GTA VI?SELL0.48$5.95
02-02 23:04US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.004$2.00
02-02 23:04Trump out as President before GTA VI?SELL0.47$2.35
01-31 16:58US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.004$2.00
01-31 16:57Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?SELL0.056$1.57
01-31 16:52US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.003$1.00
01-31 16:52Trump out as President before GTA VI?SELL0.46$1.38
01-27 01:16US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
01-27 01:15Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?SELL0.045$1.82