PolyBot

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Traders

0xd4d93f117b1e17933ca54a6b29ac33a471151b46

0xd4d93f117b1e17933ca54a6b29ac33a471151b46

Realised P&L
$12.08
Volume
$243.56
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$8.67

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · Yes0.5500.821$1.49+$0.49
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B? · No0.7200.895$1.24+$0.24
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6900.835$1.21+$0.21
Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · No0.6600.720$1.09+$0.09
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No0.4000.430$1.07+$0.07
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? · Yes0.4600.425$0.92−$0.08
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.375$0.83−$0.17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No0.7700.620$0.81−$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 22:37Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-11 14:29Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
10-11 04:37Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.4B?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-10 19:53Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-10 06:46Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-09 15:27Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 06:01SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-08 21:57Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-08 09:55Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-08 01:17Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
10-07 17:16Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $182.50 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-07 04:23Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-06 20:14Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-06 20:14Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-06 12:11Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00