linea60111
0xd4d2308447fbdf5881cf732e70b47cc9753c5aaa
- Realised P&L
- $229.60
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $599.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.967 | 0.970 | $388.00 | +$1.20 |
| Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.960 | 0.967 | $135.31 | +$0.91 |
| Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.964 | 0.965 | $76.05 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.48at 0.440Avalanche vs. Stars
- +$6.42at 0.940Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?
- +$5.60at 0.944Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
- +$5.55at 0.722Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.93at 0.550Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 03:03 | Abstract FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $76.01 |
| 10-13 03:01 | Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.96 | $134.40 |
| 10-13 02:59 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.967 | $193.40 |
| 10-13 02:59 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.967 | $193.40 |
| 09-27 13:12 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $497.00 |
| 09-24 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $61.88 |
| 09-24 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.52 |
| 09-24 07:37 | Will the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.97 | $33.91 |
| 09-24 07:34 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-24 07:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9775 | $15.64 |
| 09-24 07:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-24 07:27 | Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-24 07:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9866666667 | $14.80 |
| 09-24 07:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-24 07:17 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9983333333 | $44.92 |