0xd4cae78E70d7Fc280412892e4805624ff06BE200-1775455648529
0xd4cae78e70d7fc280412892e4805624ff06be200
- Realised P&L
- $136.89
- Volume
- $19.8k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $2.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)7.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$182.86at 0.025Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.006Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?
- +$-1.00at 0.028Will Trump say "Czar" this week? (April 12)
- +$-1.00at 0.249Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 06:32 | Will Trump dance today? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.92 |
| 04-28 06:31 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $5.00 |
| 04-28 06:27 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-23 19:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0109999892 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:43 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:39 | Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:39 | Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.004571972 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:37 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:37 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | BUY | 0.0064337184 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:35 | Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-15 19:33 | Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 04-15 19:33 | Trump out as President by April 30? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 04-15 19:33 | Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 04-13 16:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |