PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd4cae78E70d7Fc280412892e4805624ff06BE200-1775455648529

0xd4cae78e70d7fc280412892e4805624ff06be200

Realised P&L
$136.89
Volume
$19.8k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$2.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0020.003$1.25+$0.25
Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0040.004$0.98−$0.02
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00−$4.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Trump dance today? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$6.00
Will President Trump sign 6 pieces of legislation into law in March? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$2.00
Trump out as President by April 30? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 06:32Will Trump dance today?BUY0.001$0.92
04-28 06:31US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.003$5.00
04-28 06:27US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?BUY0.003$1.00
04-23 19:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0060000001$1.00
04-15 19:43Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0109999892$1.00
04-15 19:43Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.003$1.00
04-15 19:39Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026?BUY0.002$1.00
04-15 19:39Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?BUY0.004571972$1.00
04-15 19:37Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?BUY0.089999919$1.00
04-15 19:37Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?BUY0.0064337184$1.00
04-15 19:35Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
04-15 19:33Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.003$2.00
04-15 19:33Trump out as President by April 30?BUY0.008$2.00
04-15 19:33Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY0.003$2.00
04-13 16:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.00