davidskynet
0xd4c4df1630dc8261ba4f8b21dae7a6d80f7f92c2
- Realised P&L
- $-4.67
- Volume
- $237.13
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $10.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.045 | $6.67 | −$3.32 |
| Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.165 | $3.67 | +$1.67 |
| Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.13at 0.038Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 05:04 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | BUY | 0.0882352936 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 20:30 | Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | BUY | 0.0545454543 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 07:15 | Canada admitted to the EU before 2029? | BUY | 0.0899999969 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 06:52 | Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.05 by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 09-19 03:07 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 18? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-18 14:48 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 18? | BUY | 0.0353488368 | $2.00 |