0xd4bc28eb32da844078835ae5fb2d9a8f7e7d6c1b
0xd4bc28eb32da844078835ae5fb2d9a8f7e7d6c1b
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $99.2k
- Markets traded
- 540
- Open portfolio
- $111.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded540
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Australia win? · Yes | 0.571 | 0.555 | $111.00 | −$3.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$315.72at 0.740The Hundred, Women: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds
- +$225.00at 0.678T20 Asia Cup, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan
- +$144.38at 0.478Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
- +$100.50at 0.598Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$77.25at 0.582ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:18 | Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka | SELL | 0.962 | $9.62 |
| 09-17 17:44 | Sri Lanka Tour of England T20s: England vs Sri Lanka | BUY | 0.81 | $20.25 |
| 09-14 04:08 | T20 Asia Cup, Women: India vs Sri Lanka | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 09-12 15:54 | Will Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 09-05 18:43 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $24.97 |
| 08-31 20:00 | Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 08-30 17:55 | LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 10:16 | LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-24 21:14 | Dota 2: DYNASTY vs FTS (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group A | SELL | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 08-24 20:54 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $244.74 |
| 08-24 19:17 | LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.65 | $6.50 |
| 08-11 12:35 | LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $32.17 |
| 08-11 12:35 | LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.99 | $32.17 |
| 08-10 18:30 | The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave | SELL | 0.646 | $19.38 |
| 08-10 18:15 | The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.56 | $11.20 |