AZXTH409
0xd4b8a4f72e3ae1070cc36f19bff0e116217b0cd0
- Realised P&L
- $243.93
- Volume
- $36.7k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $33.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? · No | 0.977 | 0.980 | $33.18 | +$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$206.48at 0.420Islanders vs. Devils
- +$3.28at 0.916Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
- +$1.59at 0.951Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
- +$1.41at 0.910Will Ethereum reach $4200 in July?
- +$1.28at 0.955Will Ethereum reach $3,300 September 21-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 04:38 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9769999997 | $33.10 |
| 09-28 01:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9849999998 | $32.70 |
| 09-27 14:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.9939999715 | $32.50 |
| 09-25 08:34 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.9809999999 | $32.10 |
| 09-18 11:42 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9759999979 | $30.10 |
| 09-15 03:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.995 | $30.00 |
| 09-12 06:14 | Will Solana reach $110 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9689999964 | $34.90 |
| 09-11 02:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $34.70 |
| 09-10 14:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 10? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $34.40 |
| 09-09 03:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.988999993 | $34.00 |
| 09-08 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.9829999999 | $33.40 |
| 09-08 03:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $33.40 |
| 09-05 07:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.9859999998 | $32.90 |
| 09-05 07:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.992 | $32.74 |
| 08-31 14:07 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $32.10 |