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Traders

0xd4b727defc93195516e3e6acaf3a2fe15320d644

0xd4b727defc93195516e3e6acaf3a2fe15320d644

Realised P&L
$259.35
Volume
$11.0k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Julianne Moore win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6900.760$743.00+$68.00
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? · Yes0.6601.000$302.88+$102.88
Will "NAZA" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7630.945$247.78+$47.78
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3770.615$228.33+$88.33
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.8390.880$209.77+$9.77
Will "You Can See Everything" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7960.805$202.31+$2.31
Will Tom Cruise be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.4780.470$171.88−$3.12
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6800.705$155.51+$5.51
Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7200.865$154.98+$25.98
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7350.745$152.05+$2.05
Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.3160.440$139.21+$39.21
Will "Once Upon a Time in Harlem" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.6750.740$137.12+$12.12
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5480.500$125.86−$12.14
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7200.650$117.36−$12.64
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5420.525$115.31−$3.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:59Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.6599999979$100.00
11-01 20:44Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.6599999979$100.00
11-01 20:41Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.2599999993$35.00
10-31 21:49Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?BUY0.8919722497$100.00
10-30 17:09Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3280513738$25.00
10-30 16:34Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6599999979$100.00
10-30 16:34Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.4473436728$50.00
10-30 16:33Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5199999954$50.00
10-30 12:27Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3099999995$35.00
10-29 12:04Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5199999985$70.00
10-29 03:51Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7349450476$150.00
10-29 03:45Will "Once Upon a Time in Harlem" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6746031733$125.00
10-29 03:44Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.6299999989$100.00
10-29 03:44Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.5328947359$75.00
10-29 03:02Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0572983813$10.00
Trader 0xd4b727defc93195516e3e6acaf3a2fe15320d644 · PolyBot Pro