0xd4b727defc93195516e3e6acaf3a2fe15320d644
0xd4b727defc93195516e3e6acaf3a2fe15320d644
- Realised P&L
- $259.35
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$225.61at 0.189Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?
- +$212.36at 0.623Will Deshaun Watson be the Browns' Week 1 starting QB?
- +$61.41at 0.558Spread: Bengals (-14.5)
- +$43.84at 0.535Clemson vs. California: O/U 52.5
- +$41.63at 0.554Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:59 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:44 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 20:41 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2599999993 | $35.00 |
| 10-31 21:49 | Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Mexican Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8919722497 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 17:09 | Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3280513738 | $25.00 |
| 10-30 16:34 | Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 16:34 | Will "Forgotten Island" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4473436728 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 16:33 | Will "Anthony Ippolito" be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 12:27 | Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3099999995 | $35.00 |
| 10-29 12:04 | Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5199999985 | $70.00 |
| 10-29 03:51 | Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7349450476 | $150.00 |
| 10-29 03:45 | Will "Once Upon a Time in Harlem" be nominated for Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6746031733 | $125.00 |
| 10-29 03:44 | Will "Sense and Sensibility" be nominated for Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 03:44 | Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5328947359 | $75.00 |
| 10-29 03:02 | Will Tao Okamoto win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0572983813 | $10.00 |