0xd4ad348d44b416b830344878c35c813ae3db6cc5
- Realised P&L
- $-12.07
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 570
- Open portfolio
- $6.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded570
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Lahti win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.605 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.655 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Rennes: Borna Gojo vs Titouan Droguet · Titouan Droguet | 0.560 | 0.555 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.545 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.540 | 0.535 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-09-18? · No | 0.520 | 0.515 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.48at 0.373Will PAOK win on 2026-07-23?
- +$2.80at 0.271Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-16?
- +$2.64at 0.281Will FSK Bukovyna Chernivtsi vs. FK Zorya Luhansk end in a draw?
- +$2.41at 0.302Will Djurgardens IF win on 2026-07-20?
- +$2.27at 0.271Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-08-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 13:45 | Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:44 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:40 | Rennes: Borna Gojo vs Titouan Droguet | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:36 | Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh | SELL | 0.6 | $0.70 |
| 09-18 13:36 | Szczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti | SELL | 0.5 | $0.69 |
| 09-18 13:36 | Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:28 | Will FC UTA Arad win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:25 | Szczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marco Trungelliti | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:23 | Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh | SELL | 0.57 | $0.66 |
| 09-18 12:27 | Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 12:15 | LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs | SELL | 0.86 | $0.89 |
| 09-18 12:13 | Szczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Thiago Monteiro | SELL | 0.95 | $1.42 |
| 09-18 12:13 | Rennes: Harold Mayot vs Clement Chidekh | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:57 | Will FC Lahti win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 11:49 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs | SELL | 0.46 | $0.75 |