PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd4ac8b3030822158C7dcA3E816f53DfCEFd881a4-1768373148980

0xd4ac8b3030822158c7dca3e816f53dfcefd881a4

Realised P&L
$-228.38
Volume
$27.7k
Markets traded
4,328
Open portfolio
$8.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,328
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration3.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · No0.4700.620$3.10+$0.75
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? · Yes0.7300.595$2.98−$0.68
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? · No0.5500.570$2.85+$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$2.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.7600.000$0.00−$3.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.6200.000$0.00−$3.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET · Down0.6800.000$0.00−$3.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.7400.000$0.00−$3.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Down0.6600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00−$3.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Up0.5880.000$0.00−$2.85
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$2.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$3.60
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Down0.7900.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 16:40XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETBUY0.8199999921$4.15
10-31 21:211win FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.8929999972$4.47
10-31 21:011win FDV above $30M one day after launch?BUY0.93$4.65
10-31 21:011win FDV above $45M one day after launch?BUY0.82$4.10
10-31 18:07Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.47$2.35
10-31 08:00Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?BUY0.946$4.73
10-31 04:24Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?BUY0.55$2.75
10-31 03:16Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?BUY0.73$3.65
10-29 14:00XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ETBUY0.7199999579$4.10
10-29 06:42S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 29?BUY0.939999996$4.75
10-28 18:35XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETBUY0.8399999763$4.25
10-28 13:30XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.8$4.05
10-27 17:11XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ETBUY0.75$3.80
10-27 17:01XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETBUY0.8$4.05
10-27 14:50XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETBUY0.7599999763$3.85