0xd4ac8b3030822158C7dcA3E816f53DfCEFd881a4-1768373148980
0xd4ac8b3030822158c7dca3e816f53dfcefd881a4
- Realised P&L
- $-228.38
- Volume
- $27.7k
- Markets traded
- 4,328
- Open portfolio
- $8.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,328
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration3.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.21at 0.330Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
- +$14.06at 0.308Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$11.36at 0.336Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
- +$11.22at 0.158Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
- +$10.77at 0.372Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:40 | XRP Up or Down - November 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.8199999921 | $4.15 |
| 10-31 21:21 | 1win FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8929999972 | $4.47 |
| 10-31 21:01 | 1win FDV above $30M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-31 21:01 | 1win FDV above $45M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-31 18:07 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-31 08:00 | Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | BUY | 0.946 | $4.73 |
| 10-31 04:24 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-31 03:16 | Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-29 14:00 | XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | BUY | 0.7199999579 | $4.10 |
| 10-29 06:42 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 29? | BUY | 0.939999996 | $4.75 |
| 10-28 18:35 | XRP Up or Down - October 28, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.8399999763 | $4.25 |
| 10-28 13:30 | XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $4.05 |
| 10-27 17:11 | XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $3.80 |
| 10-27 17:01 | XRP Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $4.05 |
| 10-27 14:50 | XRP Up or Down - October 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999763 | $3.85 |