PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xd4aab31f459e761ac1369c56fa689b268fcef861

Realised P&L
$-67.45
Volume
$47.0k
Markets traded
95
Open portfolio
$7.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded95
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.071$1.57$1.07
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.140$1.54$0.66
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.095$1.04$0.71
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.060$0.91$1.19
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.038$0.57$1.08
Will XRP reach $4.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.026$0.52$2.48
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.034$0.51$0.69
Will Solana reach $260 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.033$0.46$0.80
Will XRP reach $4.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.037$0.41$1.24
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$47.98
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$1.89
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$19.45
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$1.15
Will Jordan win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$4.24
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$6.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:33KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo MinskBUY0.3$2.40
09-12 14:33KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo MinskSELL0.7$6.07
09-12 14:18KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo MinskBUY0.4799999683$4.84
09-12 14:17KHL: HC Dynamo Moscow vs. Dinamo MinskBUY0.5599999631$4.86
07-19 21:44Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.0725$7.58
07-19 21:11Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2749999864$9.60
07-19 21:11Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2699999837$9.60
07-19 21:09Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4249999912$14.49
07-19 18:47Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.2599999967$47.98
07-16 15:26Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsSELL0.04$14.25
07-16 15:16Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaSELL0.27$56.24
07-16 12:55Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaBUY0.2299999972$47.91
07-16 08:52Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsBUY0.1338470739$47.69
07-15 12:01Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalSELL0.3066502627$46.11
07-15 09:46LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group BSELL0.16$54.51