PolyBot

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Traders

0xD4A4AbFb8643590d6c9eF0fc8273CFc68b9EEa4F-1781335456213

0xd4a4abfb8643590d6c9ef0fc8273cfc68b9eea4f

Realised P&L
$-721.11
Volume
$39.4k
Markets traded
1,295
Open portfolio
$10.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,295
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? · No0.4200.475$9.50+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 6? · Yes0.1400.095$0.58$0.28
Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on June 17? · Up0.7000.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 8AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$0.98
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.1750.000$0.00$1.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5AM ET · Down0.5270.000$0.00$7.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.4300.000$0.00$4.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.2250.000$0.00$2.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 2AM ET · Up0.3300.000$0.00$18.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 5PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 2AM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6AM ET · Up0.4560.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:20Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.5099999566$2.00
08-04 14:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
08-04 14:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
08-04 14:19Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
08-04 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
08-04 14:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETBUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-04 14:10Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETBUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-04 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-04 13:53Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSELL0.74$3.08
08-04 13:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETBUY0.479999952$2.00
08-04 13:46Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.1199998992$1.00
08-04 13:38Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5?BUY0.42$8.40
08-04 13:26Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 5?SELL0.96$19.20
08-04 12:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.5$2.00
08-04 12:30Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.5$1.00