PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD4A4AbFb8643590d6c9eF0fc8273CFc68b9EEa4F-1781335456213

0xd4a4abfb8643590d6c9ef0fc8273cfc68b9eea4f

Realised P&L
$-189.75
Volume
$69.7k
Markets traded
1,835
Open portfolio
$40.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,835
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 19? · Yes0.2640.285$28.50+$2.10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20? · Yes0.1600.160$9.22$0.02
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 19? · Yes0.0400.035$2.43$0.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00$8.80
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5PM ET · Down0.4800.000$0.00$2.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6AM ET · Up0.4560.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$0.50
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 0 Paraguay? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.2250.000$0.00$2.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET · Up0.2910.000$0.00$15.00
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$3.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$2.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 05:41Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19?SELL0.817$0.01
09-19 05:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1AM ETBUY0.52$10.40
09-19 04:26Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19?SELL0.831$17.90
09-19 02:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10PM ETBUY0.4799998464$1.00
09-19 01:30Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.805$8.05
09-19 01:30Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19?BUY0.804$8.04
09-19 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9PM ETBUY0.5$10.00
09-19 00:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8PM ETBUY0.57$5.70
09-18 23:01Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 19?BUY0.32$9.60
09-18 14:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-18 14:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5PM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-18 14:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4PM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-18 14:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3PM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-18 14:55Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2PM ETBUY0.51$20.40
09-18 14:54Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ETBUY0.51$20.40