0xD4A4AbFb8643590d6c9eF0fc8273CFc68b9EEa4F-1781335456213
0xd4a4abfb8643590d6c9ef0fc8273cfc68b9eea4f
- Realised P&L
- $-189.75
- Volume
- $69.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,835
- Open portfolio
- $40.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,835
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$333.01at 0.458Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 1AM ET
- +$200.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$143.46at 0.707Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 23?
- +$98.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2AM ET
- +$93.98at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.817 | $0.01 |
| 09-19 05:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 09-19 04:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.831 | $17.90 |
| 09-19 02:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.805 | $8.05 |
| 09-19 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.804 | $8.04 |
| 09-19 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 00:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 09-18 23:01 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.32 | $9.60 |
| 09-18 14:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-18 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-18 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-18 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-18 14:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |
| 09-18 14:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $20.40 |