0xD4A4AbFb8643590d6c9eF0fc8273CFc68b9EEa4F-1781335456213
0xd4a4abfb8643590d6c9ef0fc8273cfc68b9eea4f
- Realised P&L
- $-721.11
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,295
- Open portfolio
- $10.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,295
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.73at 0.463Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5AM ET
- +$92.84at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11PM ET
- +$71.53at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12PM ET
- +$56.06at 0.630Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
- +$50.99at 0.480Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999566 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999534 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $3.08 |
| 08-04 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | BUY | 0.479999952 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:38 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 08-04 13:26 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.96 | $19.20 |
| 08-04 12:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |