0xD49eF90a4580907037A43BCd31a02AE155E24FF0-1781340266224
0xd49ef90a4580907037a43bcd31a02ae155e24ff0
- Realised P&L
- $-384.80
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $23.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.24at 0.223Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches
- +$64.74at 0.072Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$54.67at 0.181Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group C
- +$53.57at 0.073Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$46.82at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-03 20:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0034894541 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:48 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.61 |
| 10-03 20:47 | Will Tom Holland receive an Oscar nomination? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.94 |
| 10-03 20:17 | Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs | BUY | 0.059 | $1.18 |
| 10-03 20:17 | Counter-Strike: Galorys vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 6 Playoffs | BUY | 0.0640553438 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 20:10 | Will Elon post "Mexico" on X this week? | BUY | 0.2368732653 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 20:09 | Will Elon post "Mexico" on X this week? | BUY | 0.1348665502 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 20:08 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" this week? | BUY | 0.161016947 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 20:08 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin", "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 20:07 | Will Trump say "Border" 20+ times during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.3154325369 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 19:59 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.0083948682 | $2.77 |
| 10-03 19:57 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 10-03 19:56 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches | BUY | 0.03 | $1.80 |