i18z
0xd49b42bce7ea10bac53e2901c188cae20ea4bdf9
- Realised P&L
- $21.2k
- Volume
- $10.41M
- Markets traded
- 3,101
- Open portfolio
- $109.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,101
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.4kat 0.002Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
- +$73.4kat 0.023Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
- +$58.7kat 0.011Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$48.1kat 0.001Will Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
- +$43.0kat 0.084Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 02:15 | Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.27 |
| 05-22 02:10 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference? | BUY | 0.43 | $296.49 |
| 05-22 02:05 | Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.9119999967 | $6.63 |
| 05-22 02:05 | Will Thomas Welby win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.59 |
| 05-22 02:05 | Will Míde Nic Fhionnlaoich win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.9089999971 | $6.91 |
| 05-22 02:05 | Will Helen Ogbu win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.912 | $0.31 |
| 05-22 02:05 | Will Sheila Garrity win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.59 |
| 05-22 02:05 | Will Orla Nugent win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.59 |
| 05-22 02:05 | Will Niall Murphy win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.59 |
| 05-22 02:05 | Will Denman Rooke win the 2026 Galway West by-election? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.59 |
| 05-22 01:58 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8429999925 | $16.95 |
| 05-22 01:58 | Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9909999584 | $19.92 |
| 05-22 01:54 | Will Iain Black win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.983999948 | $17.72 |
| 05-22 01:54 | Will Warren Hamm win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.99 |
| 05-22 01:54 | Will Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.972 | $17.50 |