P-J
0xd498f2d1ae092dfc39088343f6d4e9219c7780ae
- Realised P&L
- $27.5k
- Volume
- $753.2k
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.6kat 0.347Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win between 120 and 134 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$4.8kat 0.483Next Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
- +$3.6kat 0.243Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$3.2kat 0.210Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
- +$3.0kat 0.344Will the People’s Party (PPLE) win fewer than 120 seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 03:58 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in October? | BUY | 0.32 | $160.00 |
| 09-23 06:10 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | SELL | 0.3 | $89.99 |
| 09-18 09:28 | Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $17.06 |
| 09-18 09:27 | Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $52.85 |
| 08-06 07:21 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.20 |
| 08-03 06:49 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.94 | $375.98 |
| 07-29 10:27 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.237 | $118.50 |
| 07-03 04:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July? | BUY | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 06-27 14:08 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.814 | $325.60 |
| 06-16 16:53 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.1k |
| 06-15 06:19 | Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9386888889 | $33.79 |
| 06-15 06:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8598128818 | $945.79 |
| 06-15 06:16 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? | SELL | 0.98 | $980.00 |
| 06-12 13:57 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY | 0.11 | $131.79 |
| 06-12 03:40 | Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.938 | $49.62 |