PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xd4906BAd94F2C82FbFdB6d4413AC1A8c7872e8e2-1769065409539

0xd4906bad94f2c82fbfdb6d4413ac1a8c7872e8e2

Realised P&L
$378.73
Volume
$4.0k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$679.26

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? · No0.2450.695$269.84+$174.69
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? · No0.4610.855$185.96+$85.76
Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 19-25? · No0.8500.915$159.19+$11.31
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25? · No0.4890.470$64.27−$2.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.2220.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00−$2.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 23? · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET · Down0.2830.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET · Down0.3240.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$2.45
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 26? · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 03:34Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?BUY0.47$2.35
10-19 22:44Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?BUY0.49$10.16
10-19 22:20Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?SELL0.48$14.93
10-19 22:19Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?BUY0.49$15.24
10-19 22:02Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?BUY0.49$47.04
10-19 22:02Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?BUY0.49$4.90
10-19 22:00Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?BUY0.48$2.40
10-18 10:45Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?SELL0.991513$19.83
10-16 17:23Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?BUY0.9899999865$2.93
10-13 06:58Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?BUY0.49$117.35
10-10 17:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETBUY0.49$2.45
10-10 17:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETSELL0.48$2.40
10-10 17:23Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?SELL0.987$9.87
10-10 17:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.34$1.70
10-10 17:06Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 October 5-11?SELL0.989$5.93