Rocky0420
0xd48fbb1cae18cf7d956277271ce4c712513e2132
- Realised P&L
- $650.54
- Volume
- $222.5k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $8.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.384 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$670.45at 0.320GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
- +$598.11at 0.210Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$420.09at 0.612Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?
- +$362.93at 0.275Will Claude go down 12+ times in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:53 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | BUY | 0.5576585542 | $269.00 |
| 08-02 15:52 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | SELL | 0.3484080406 | $168.12 |
| 08-02 15:52 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.976 | $244.00 |
| 08-02 15:51 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.7423817626 | $2.9k |
| 07-31 23:44 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? | BUY | 0.5799999999 | $325.00 |
| 07-31 23:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $300.00 |
| 07-31 23:43 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6599999988 | $450.00 |
| 07-31 21:35 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $933.38 |
| 07-31 21:32 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.5988458135 | $1.1k |
| 07-31 15:05 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? | SELL | 0.3573136463 | $172.42 |
| 07-31 15:00 | Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.607782816 | $778.76 |
| 07-30 14:39 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.992 | $0.27 |
| 07-30 14:38 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.4799999993 | $250.00 |
| 07-30 03:21 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.2274875566 | $80.44 |
| 07-29 19:03 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.1665957447 | $10.34 |