PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Rocky0420

0xd48fbb1cae18cf7d956277271ce4c712513e2132

Realised P&L
$650.54
Volume
$222.5k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$8.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · No0.7420.710$2.7k$127.43
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026? · No0.6690.755$2.1k+$236.72
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.5990.645$1.2k+$82.55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes0.4530.680$750.41+$250.41
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.5260.395$488.17$161.83
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.6900.575$375.00$75.00
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? · No0.5580.656$316.68+$47.68
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · No0.5800.565$316.54$8.46
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.5080.730$287.15+$87.15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.8500.775$273.53$26.47
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.6600.325$221.59$228.41
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.2910.021$25.76$324.24
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? · No0.0440.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:53Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?BUY0.5576585542$269.00
08-02 15:52Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?SELL0.3484080406$168.12
08-02 15:52Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?SELL0.976$244.00
08-02 15:51Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?BUY0.7423817626$2.9k
07-31 23:44Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.5799999999$325.00
07-31 23:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.8499999999$300.00
07-31 23:43US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6599999988$450.00
07-31 21:35Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?SELL0.999$933.38
07-31 21:32Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.5988458135$1.1k
07-31 15:05Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?SELL0.3573136463$172.42
07-31 15:00Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.607782816$778.76
07-30 14:39Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?SELL0.992$0.27
07-30 14:38US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.4799999993$250.00
07-30 03:21Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.2274875566$80.44
07-29 19:03Will Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?BUY0.1665957447$10.34