PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

andlar

0xd48fa84fc3dcf239a5352a423b4ba82686903a9d

Realised P&L
$7.66
Volume
$435.05
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$15.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes0.4600.455$1.98−$0.02
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.3600.355$1.97−$0.03
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.3600.355$1.97−$0.03
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2800.275$1.96−$0.04
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes0.2600.255$1.96−$0.04
Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.225$1.96−$0.04
Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.185$1.95−$0.05
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.4000.375$1.88−$0.13
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:03Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
10-08 11:03Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
10-08 11:02Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
10-08 11:02Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.4$2.00
10-08 11:02Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.3599999712$2.00
10-08 11:01Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
10-08 11:01Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?BUY0.1899999962$2.00
10-08 11:01Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
09-20 17:00Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.1$1.00
09-19 20:00Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?SELL0.999$12.49
09-19 15:40Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.16$2.00
09-19 15:39Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-19 15:01Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
09-16 11:18Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.2599999896$3.00
09-16 11:16Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.082$0.84