andlar
0xd48fa84fc3dcf239a5352a423b4ba82686903a9d
- Realised P&L
- $7.66
- Volume
- $435.05
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $15.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.455 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $1.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.275 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $1.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.185 | $1.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.375 | $1.88 | −$0.13 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.40at 0.167Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$8.43at 0.270Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?
- +$5.42at 0.070Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?
- +$3.35at 0.200Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?
- +$3.00at 0.392Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:03 | Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:03 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:02 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:02 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:02 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:01 | Will Sunderland AFC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:01 | Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 11:01 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 17:00 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 20:00 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $12.49 |
| 09-19 15:40 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 15:39 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 15:01 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1099999951 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 11:18 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 11:16 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.082 | $0.84 |