mintjolt82
0xd48e7b5236fa2c559ea83ce76d8c464aabb9a0a2
- Realised P&L
- $-642.42
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $53.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.003 | $22.26 | −$40.07 |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $13.36 | −$40.07 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $13.36 | −$40.07 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $4.45 | −$48.97 |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
| Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.001Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.27at 0.001Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-2.13at 0.006Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 14:32 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $26.71 |
| 06-19 03:49 | Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $26.71 |
| 06-19 01:37 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $31.16 |
| 06-18 21:06 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $35.62 |
| 06-18 21:06 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $35.62 |
| 06-18 17:19 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $31.16 |
| 06-16 05:14 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $35.62 |
| 06-15 23:02 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $31.16 |
| 06-15 18:42 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.009 | $40.07 |
| 06-15 12:16 | Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $31.16 |
| 06-15 07:54 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $26.71 |
| 06-14 20:32 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $26.71 |
| 06-14 10:30 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $31.16 |
| 06-14 02:17 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.007 | $31.16 |
| 06-13 11:05 | Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $4.45 |