PolyBot

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Traders

mintjolt82

0xd48e7b5236fa2c559ea83ce76d8c464aabb9a0a2

Realised P&L
$-642.42
Volume
$1.42M
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$53.42

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.003$22.26$40.07
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$13.36$40.07
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.002$13.36$40.07
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.001$4.45$48.97
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$8.90
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$8.90
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$8.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 14:32Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$26.71
06-19 03:49Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$26.71
06-19 01:37Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$31.16
06-18 21:06Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$35.62
06-18 21:06Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.008$35.62
06-18 17:19Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.007$31.16
06-16 05:14Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.008$35.62
06-15 23:02Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$31.16
06-15 18:42Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.009$40.07
06-15 12:16Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$31.16
06-15 07:54Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$26.71
06-14 20:32Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.006$26.71
06-14 10:30Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$31.16
06-14 02:17Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.007$31.16
06-13 11:05Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.001$4.45