Lebek
0xd48e335578fddfca9a44b8ad4600624860bf0057
- Realised P&L
- $-124.89
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $2.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.90at 0.350S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?
- +$9.47at 0.191Solana Up or Down - February 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$5.87at 0.069Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?
- +$4.87at 0.050Will Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$2.37at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-12 06:55 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.1899999714 | $4.98 |
| 04-12 06:54 | Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June? | SELL | 0.136 | $4.72 |
| 03-29 06:49 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.3399999815 | $11.00 |
| 03-29 06:47 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June? | SELL | 0.149 | $10.87 |
| 03-11 17:01 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.00 |
| 03-11 17:01 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 17:00 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.3790017668 | $5.00 |
| 03-11 17:00 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.37 | $12.73 |
| 02-27 15:37 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27? | BUY | 0.1399999627 | $3.00 |
| 02-27 15:21 | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 27? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.38 |
| 02-27 14:34 | Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 27? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.50 |
| 02-27 14:33 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.00 |
| 02-27 14:05 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.64 | $5.24 |
| 02-27 14:05 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27? | BUY | 0.1770491364 | $3.00 |
| 02-27 11:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27? | BUY | 0.0598727434 | $2.00 |