PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Lebek

0xd48e335578fddfca9a44b8ad4600624860bf0057

Realised P&L
$-124.89
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$2.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD/JPY hit 110 (Low) in 2026? · Yes0.1000.051$2.52−$2.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.3030.000$0.00−$1.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27? · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $510 end of February? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$5.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 20? · Down0.0990.000$0.00−$8.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$13.00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00−$5.00
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on February 17? · Up0.0550.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00−$35.98
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET · Up0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27? · Up0.1580.000$0.00−$9.00
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in February 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 19? · Up0.1850.000$0.00−$21.08
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-12 06:55Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.1899999714$4.98
04-12 06:54Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?SELL0.136$4.72
03-29 06:49Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3399999815$11.00
03-29 06:47Will Gold (GC) settle at $3,800-$4,200 in June?SELL0.149$10.87
03-11 17:01Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?BUY0.007$3.00
03-11 17:01Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?BUY0.002$5.00
03-11 17:00Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.3790017668$5.00
03-11 17:00Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.37$12.73
02-27 15:37S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?BUY0.1399999627$3.00
02-27 15:21Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 27?SELL0.27$3.38
02-27 14:34Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on February 27?BUY0.2$2.50
02-27 14:33S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?BUY0.16$3.00
02-27 14:05Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.64$5.24
02-27 14:05S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 27?BUY0.1770491364$3.00
02-27 11:46S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 27?BUY0.0598727434$2.00