0xD484BBc677cDb474949583AE0253Eb41C0eB046F-1773264937354
0xd484bbc677cdb474949583ae0253eb41c0eb046f
- Realised P&L
- $-223.40
- Volume
- $21.9k
- Markets traded
- 569
- Open portfolio
- $0.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded569
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.04at 0.066Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?
- +$51.77at 0.037Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on April 6?
- +$48.85at 0.022Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?
- +$30.91at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C or higher on April 3?
- +$29.80at 0.095Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.0934195284 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.055 | $1.65 |
| 11-01 20:43 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1? | BUY | 0.085 | $4.25 |
| 05-06 10:54 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.3479997996 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.0982467469 | $3.00 |
| 05-06 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6? | SELL | 0.0035567929 | $0.13 |
| 05-06 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.3849998518 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 03:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6? | BUY | 0.0278348005 | $1.00 |
| 05-06 03:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.3406413029 | $3.00 |
| 05-06 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 6? | BUY | 0.2059999567 | $3.00 |
| 05-05 17:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5? | SELL | 0.996 | $10.49 |
| 05-05 14:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5? | BUY | 0.1073170289 | $2.00 |
| 05-05 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 5? | SELL | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 05-05 13:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |