PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD484BBc677cDb474949583AE0253Eb41C0eB046F-1773264937354

0xd484bbc677cdb474949583ae0253eb41c0eb046f

Realised P&L
$-223.40
Volume
$21.9k
Markets traded
569
Open portfolio
$0.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded569
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on November 1?BUY0.0934195284$5.00
11-01 21:03Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 1?BUY0.055$1.65
11-01 20:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 1?BUY0.085$4.25
05-06 10:54Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on May 6?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
05-06 04:51Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6?BUY0.3479997996$1.00
05-06 04:44Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?BUY0.0982467469$3.00
05-06 04:05Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?SELL0.0035567929$0.13
05-06 03:22Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 6?BUY0.3849998518$1.00
05-06 03:21Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C or higher on May 6?BUY0.0278348005$1.00
05-06 03:05Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 6?BUY0.3406413029$3.00
05-06 03:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on May 6?BUY0.2059999567$3.00
05-05 17:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?SELL0.996$10.49
05-05 14:41Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?BUY0.1073170289$2.00
05-05 14:40Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on May 5?SELL0.985$4.92
05-05 13:27Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 5?BUY0.1899999373$2.00