PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

NotSomeGambler

0xd4846896594fab4b40bbda95143ecb68b5e07055

Realised P&L
$-258.46
Volume
$18.8k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17? · No0.8780.000$0.00$203.84
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 16? · No0.7940.000$0.00$301.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET · Down0.8200.000$0.00$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 11:08Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.89$61.09
09-18 07:09Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.93$63.84
09-17 22:37Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 17?BUY0.974616329$63.51
09-17 22:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?SELL0.998$63.57
09-16 19:59Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 18?BUY0.988$62.94
09-16 11:50Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?SELL0.997$63.08
09-13 22:33Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.963$60.93
09-13 03:26North Dakota vs. Portland StateBUY0.965$20.27
09-13 03:24North Dakota vs. Portland StateBUY0.973$38.92
09-13 00:33Buffalo vs. Florida InternationalBUY0.98$38.22
09-13 00:27San Diego vs. Idaho StateBUY0.99$19.80
09-12 22:42UCF vs. PittsburghBUY0.9399999995$35.00
08-24 19:07Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 24?BUY0.922$4.61
08-24 19:06Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 24?BUY0.92$18.40
08-24 19:04Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 24?BUY0.8902630195$16.92