lyezzzzz
0xd478c387d3d134e245e9a9227f040e955909eb6e
- Realised P&L
- $305.93
- Volume
- $25.1k
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $122.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$263.95at 0.297Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$223.49at 0.499Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?
- +$217.41at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$195.98at 0.186Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?
- +$186.08at 0.453Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.6 | $9.00 |
| 08-04 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $14.00 |
| 08-04 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 08-04 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.043 | $0.29 |
| 08-04 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2776069399 | $9.28 |
| 08-04 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 08-04 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 08-04 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 03:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.32 |
| 08-04 03:04 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.06 |
| 08-04 02:52 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.44 |
| 08-04 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 08-04 02:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.4828571429 | $13.52 |
| 08-04 02:15 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.28 |