lyezzzzz
0xd478c387d3d134e245e9a9227f040e955909eb6e
- Realised P&L
- $447.59
- Volume
- $160.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,143
- Open portfolio
- $344.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,143
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19? · Yes | 0.970 | 0.955 | $127.97 | −$2.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19? · No | 0.970 | 0.980 | $114.13 | +$1.16 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on September 19? · No | 0.973 | 0.550 | $34.65 | −$26.63 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on September 19? · No | 0.970 | 0.535 | $24.61 | −$20.01 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 19°C on September 19? · No | 0.970 | 0.540 | $19.44 | −$15.48 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on September 19? · No | 0.980 | 0.555 | $13.70 | −$10.49 |
| Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.960 | $9.60 | +$4.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 27°C on September 18? · Yes | 0.442 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.33at 0.301Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3?
- +$221.69at 0.503Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?
- +$215.24at 0.161Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
- +$194.34at 0.191Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4?
- +$185.08at 0.456Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 22:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $19.40 |
| 09-18 22:52 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 18°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $44.62 |
| 09-18 22:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $34.92 |
| 09-18 22:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $16.66 |
| 09-18 22:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.20 |
| 09-18 22:49 | Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $44.62 |
| 09-18 22:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $112.97 |
| 09-18 22:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.97 | $110.58 |
| 09-18 22:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $105.53 |
| 09-18 13:35 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.981 | $8.39 |
| 09-18 13:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-18 12:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-18 08:22 | Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 11°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-18 08:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 17°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-18 08:14 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.99 | $34.65 |