0xd47878cd7636d961710a72d78aab1b3602150f67
0xd47878cd7636d961710a72d78aab1b3602150f67
- Realised P&L
- $11.87
- Volume
- $195.33
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $9.87
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.998 | $1.66 | +$0.66 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.645 | $1.47 | +$0.47 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.770 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.270 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.665 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.345 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.145 | $0.54 | −$0.46 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.480 | 0.210 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No | 0.400 | 0.160 | $0.40 | −$0.60 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.600 | 0.160 | $0.27 | −$0.73 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.73at 0.217Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?
- +$3.32at 0.237SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
- +$2.01at 0.359Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.85at 0.379Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$1.77at 0.389Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 23:03 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 15:02 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 06:43 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 22:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:35 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:08 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:38 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 09:42 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:24 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:11 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 06:25 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:19 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:19 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |