PolyBot

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Traders

0xd47878cd7636d961710a72d78aab1b3602150f67

0xd47878cd7636d961710a72d78aab1b3602150f67

Realised P&L
$11.87
Volume
$195.33
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$9.87

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.6000.998$1.66+$0.66
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.4400.645$1.47+$0.47
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.5600.770$1.38+$0.38
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.2600.270$1.04+$0.04
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16? · Yes0.4000.405$1.01+$0.01
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No0.7200.665$0.92−$0.08
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4600.345$0.75−$0.25
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.2700.145$0.54−$0.46
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? · No0.4800.210$0.44−$0.56
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No0.4000.160$0.40−$0.60
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of October 12 2026? · No0.6000.160$0.27−$0.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 23:03Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-12 15:02Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 16?BUY0.4$1.00
10-12 06:43Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00
10-11 22:43Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-11 14:35Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-11 05:08Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
10-10 19:38Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-10 09:42Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
10-09 11:24Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
10-09 03:23S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
10-08 19:11Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-08 06:25Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-07 10:20Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-07 02:19Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-07 02:19Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.78$1.00