PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rezd

0xd46e19eb354a2b6de07983e4c870dfc71643bf9e

Realised P&L
$-309.28
Volume
$9.1k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$47.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.6730.385$33.70−$25.20
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9810.989$10.08+$0.08
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0380.024$3.09−$1.91
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes0.4700.085$0.18−$0.82
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · No0.0640.000$0.00−$25.80
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No0.0180.000$0.00−$7.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 21:32Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETSELL0.33$0.50
09-18 21:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETBUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-18 21:25Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?BUY0.0654698387$20.00
09-18 21:10Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-18 21:09Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.9809999989$10.00
09-18 21:06Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0379999998$5.00
09-10 17:29Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0578844$57.88
09-10 17:29Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.06$149.49
09-08 17:46Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028?BUY0.7299999975$34.70
09-08 17:20Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1252662148$500.00