rezd
0xd46e19eb354a2b6de07983e4c870dfc71643bf9e
- Realised P&L
- $-309.28
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $47.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? · Yes | 0.673 | 0.385 | $33.70 | −$25.20 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No | 0.981 | 0.989 | $10.08 | +$0.08 |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.024 | $3.09 | −$1.91 |
| Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.085 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · No | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.80 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · No | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.55at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
- +$-274.24at 0.131Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 21:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $0.50 |
| 09-18 21:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:25 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | BUY | 0.0654698387 | $20.00 |
| 09-18 21:10 | Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 21:09 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.9809999989 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 21:06 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0379999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 17:29 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0578844 | $57.88 |
| 09-10 17:29 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $149.49 |
| 09-08 17:46 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.7299999975 | $34.70 |
| 09-08 17:20 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1252662148 | $500.00 |