PolyBot

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Traders

0xd45958e02d9cb1019fc96fc9e86ba27920b613f9

0xd45958e02d9cb1019fc96fc9e86ba27920b613f9

Realised P&L
$-10.5k
Volume
$1.20M
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3800.295$3.2k−$908.20
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.6580.180$91.60−$243.17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.7240.000$0.00−$15.0k
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Down0.2800.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 19:57Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.41$2.05
10-10 14:15Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.37$6.1k
10-10 14:15Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?SELL0.1434933333$43.05
10-02 18:07Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.41$911.84
09-15 18:36Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.06$250.88
09-15 18:10Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.1439509055$601.90
08-19 16:48Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2391588305$2.0k
08-19 16:43Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.49$3.0k
08-14 12:36Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETBUY0.8299999973$25.00
08-14 12:34Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSELL0.94$26.87
08-14 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.3399999633$5.00
08-14 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.359999977$5.00
07-08 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETBUY0.2799999928$25.00
07-08 13:27Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSELL0.1409599584$27.11
07-08 13:26Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETBUY0.1299999957$25.00