PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3F6d98a61F254b2535C5E5D0E94a8B37a7800d42-1775189524008

0xd456f5b4b9ba613ada9c28c2b6e573ebd5419189

Realised P&L
$601.28
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split · Yes0.5440.635$3.8k+$543.11
Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? · Yes0.4590.415$81.45$8.55
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2290.180$12.92$3.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 02:31Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitBUY0.61$30.50
09-15 02:29Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?BUY0.23$1.15
09-15 02:28Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026?BUY0.2285714286$10.00
09-15 02:26Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitBUY0.5803819109$100.00
09-15 01:59Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?BUY0.4599999986$20.00
09-14 23:52Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 Süper Lig?BUY0.4581534576$70.00
09-05 15:02Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?BUY0.8999999988$585.21
09-05 14:19Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer SplitBUY0.54$3.0k
09-05 10:03Will G2 Caps Go Bald in 2026?BUY0.99$54.45
09-05 10:02Will G2 Caps Go Bald in 2026?BUY0.9790297125$121.59