0x3F6d98a61F254b2535C5E5D0E94a8B37a7800d42-1775189524008
0xd456f5b4b9ba613ada9c28c2b6e573ebd5419189
- Realised P&L
- $601.28
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $3.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split · Yes | 0.544 | 0.635 | $3.8k | +$543.11 |
| Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? · Yes | 0.459 | 0.415 | $81.45 | −$8.55 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.180 | $12.92 | −$3.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.10at 0.904Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?
- +$5.79at 0.984Will G2 Caps Go Bald in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 02:31 | Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split | BUY | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 09-15 02:29 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 09-15 02:28 | Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? | BUY | 0.2285714286 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 02:26 | Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split | BUY | 0.5803819109 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 01:59 | Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? | BUY | 0.4599999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-14 23:52 | Will Galatasaray win the 2026-27 Süper Lig? | BUY | 0.4581534576 | $70.00 |
| 09-05 15:02 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.8999999988 | $585.21 |
| 09-05 14:19 | Will LYON Win LCS 2026 Summer Split | BUY | 0.54 | $3.0k |
| 09-05 10:03 | Will G2 Caps Go Bald in 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $54.45 |
| 09-05 10:02 | Will G2 Caps Go Bald in 2026? | BUY | 0.9790297125 | $121.59 |