PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cactusnoodle

0xd4546eae9de29b025922207b283ce216b09dd749

Realised P&L
$169.13
Volume
$132.3k
Markets traded
1,281
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,281
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20? · Yes0.9581.000$962.69+$40.19
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20? · Yes0.9931.000$812.59+$5.58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20? · No0.9941.000$709.64+$3.57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21? · Yes0.9780.973$296.76−$1.52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 21? · Yes0.9991.000$39.98+$0.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21? · Yes0.9991.000$39.98+$0.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 20? · Yes0.9991.000$39.98+$0.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 20? · Yes0.9991.000$39.98+$0.02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 20? · No0.9401.000$36.98+$2.20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 20? · No0.5100.001$0.03−$25.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 14:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 21?BUY0.978$298.29
10-20 14:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 21?BUY0.999$39.96
10-20 13:49Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?BUY0.998$99.80
10-20 13:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?BUY0.9609999999$140.89
10-20 11:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?BUY0.9509999998$86.13
10-20 11:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?BUY0.9609999998$173.34
10-20 06:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?BUY0.997$239.28
10-20 05:46Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?BUY0.996$229.08
10-20 05:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 20?BUY0.995$202.98
10-20 05:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?BUY0.972$155.52
10-20 04:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?BUY0.993$178.74
10-20 04:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?BUY0.992$396.80
10-20 04:30Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?BUY0.969$174.96
10-20 04:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 20?BUY0.99$131.67
10-20 04:00Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 20?BUY0.9686346364$174.42