devilblack95
0xd4504a7326f963062bcd28d090a01f5441be65b4
- Realised P&L
- $-9.90
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $12.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.44at 0.708Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?
- +$2.29at 0.259Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 13m?
- +$1.78at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$1.51at 0.577Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
- +$1.48at 0.476Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 17:59 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999962 | $1.65 |
| 10-10 17:57 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on October 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.67 |
| 10-10 02:10 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.69 |
| 10-10 02:06 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.06 |
| 10-10 01:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $1.19 |
| 10-10 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999186 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 01:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 01:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $2.11 |
| 10-10 01:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8799997184 | $2.00 |
| 10-09 00:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6299998806 | $1.90 |
| 10-09 00:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.90 |
| 10-09 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $1.06 |
| 10-09 00:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.6099999913 | $2.80 |