0xd44e45073ed6afa51c6c48de60bcb705fd58f26c
0xd44e45073ed6afa51c6c48de60bcb705fd58f26c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.52
- Volume
- $58.59
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $1.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.710 | $0.99 | −$0.03 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.280 | $0.63 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.03at 0.258Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.87at 0.359Will Trump say "Never Seen Anything" during remarks at NASA?
- +$0.89at 0.540Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$0.82at 0.560Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?
- +$0.64at 0.620Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 10:50 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999499 | $1.02 |
| 09-23 02:30 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $212.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999338 | $1.02 |
| 09-19 17:00 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.6699998095 | $1.02 |
| 09-19 07:51 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.02 |
| 09-19 07:21 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999674 | $1.02 |
| 09-17 18:52 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $184 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.02 |
| 09-17 17:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.6599998059 | $1.02 |
| 09-16 05:13 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.6099998206 | $1.02 |
| 09-08 12:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.7099998608 | $1.02 |
| 09-07 18:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.02 |
| 09-03 01:52 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 3? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.02 |
| 09-02 11:15 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5299998389 | $1.02 |
| 08-31 11:28 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.02 |
| 08-30 23:40 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998579 | $1.02 |
| 08-30 12:58 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.309999845 | $1.02 |