bonylaugh
0xd44de830d0c3109bee50eb3259f48daed8c92305
- Realised P&L
- $-473.19
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $30.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$143.63at 0.160Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 8?
- +$110.40at 0.200Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on July 8?
- +$109.85at 0.174Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 5?
- +$91.52at 0.190Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 8?
- +$75.00at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.10 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.1142105263 | $2.17 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.98 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.06 | $2.28 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.70 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.56 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.038 | $2.13 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.51 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.89 |
| 08-09 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.008 | $0.23 |
| 06-30 22:14 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 1? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |