0xd44A623e8187f0cf4de9448331a8B29FFe355465-1762279546619
0xd44a623e8187f0cf4de9448331a8b29ffe355465
- Realised P&L
- $422.51
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $262.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? · No | 0.819 | 0.958 | $112.44 | +$16.34 |
| Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.165 | $79.26 | −$33.42 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.068 | 0.097 | $70.96 | +$20.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$383.97at 0.285Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?
- +$23.48at 0.596Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres
- +$18.18at 0.156Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.53at 0.663Lakers vs. Warriors
- +$6.10at 0.691Will CA Peñarol win on 2026-04-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 12:52 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $125.65 |
| 09-04 03:45 | Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? | SELL | 0.9527668712 | $37.27 |
| 09-02 15:59 | Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.151214441 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 00:18 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0679999988 | $50.00 |
| 05-24 18:36 | Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.3224096348 | $100.00 |
| 05-24 18:34 | Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $135.30 |
| 05-22 21:12 | Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.2142229505 | $48.54 |
| 04-13 21:39 | Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada? | BUY | 0.3069428359 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 05:03 | Another Canada election called by June 30? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.05 |
| 04-10 05:01 | Golden Knights vs. Kraken | SELL | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 04-10 05:01 | Wuning: Kody Pearson vs Li Tu | SELL | 0.999 | $4.97 |
| 04-10 04:48 | Canucks vs. Kings | SELL | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 04-10 04:31 | Timberwolves vs. Rockets | SELL | 0.19 | $0.93 |
| 04-10 04:31 | Spread: Kings (-1.5) | SELL | 0.18 | $0.88 |
| 04-10 04:29 | Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | SELL | 0.53 | $2.61 |