PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Bermud

0xd44205fe8b1b1e657c8a322eae1e6cd74005b45f

Realised P&L
$-107.12
Volume
$22.2k
Markets traded
151
Open portfolio
$154.38

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded151
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6400.715$72.62+$7.62
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0870.100$57.18+$7.18
Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4700.385$24.57−$5.43
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Down0.4260.000$0.00−$10.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Down0.3750.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · No0.0600.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.4670.000$0.00−$0.60
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.5580.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Down0.2620.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 13:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETBUY0.3299999815$5.00
10-27 15:35NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1407756924$29.33
10-23 11:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.08$3.00
10-23 11:56Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.61$7.63
10-23 11:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.4$5.00
10-23 11:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-23 11:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.2599999896$5.00
10-23 11:19Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027?BUY0.4699999944$30.00
10-21 11:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETSELL0.8$10.00
10-21 11:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ETBUY0.4$5.00
10-21 11:57Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.087$50.00
10-20 14:19Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.001$0.05
10-14 15:08Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-14 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETBUY0.2199999974$5.00
10-14 15:07Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSELL0.56$11.20