Bermud
0xd44205fe8b1b1e657c8a322eae1e6cd74005b45f
- Realised P&L
- $-107.12
- Volume
- $22.2k
- Markets traded
- 151
- Open portfolio
- $154.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded151
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.69at 0.109Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$73.10at 0.120Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$68.90at 0.303Ethereum Up or Down - February 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
- +$63.12at 0.388Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
- +$54.87at 0.353Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 15:35 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1407756924 | $29.33 |
| 10-23 11:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 11:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.61 | $7.63 |
| 10-23 11:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 11:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 11:19 | Pete Hegseth impeached by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $30.00 |
| 10-21 11:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 11:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-21 11:57 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.087 | $50.00 |
| 10-20 14:19 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 10-14 15:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 15:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |