0xD433BC9219Ee49DFD8a7d92ADD0076623bF6D1DA-1767636740185
0xd433bc9219ee49dfd8a7d92add0076623bf6d1da
- Realised P&L
- $-31.00
- Volume
- $810.72
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $4.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Walz in jail by December 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.029 | $4.14 | −$5.86 |
| Tim Walz in jail by March 31? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-6.00at 0.180Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-09 11:00 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1799999772 | $6.00 |
| 01-05 18:30 | Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0557608767 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 18:30 | Tim Walz in jail by March 31? | BUY | 0.0224586567 | $5.00 |
| 01-05 18:30 | Tim Walz in jail by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 01-05 18:29 | Will Tim Walz resign by January 31? | BUY | 0.042999996 | $10.00 |