0xd430f82e98dc1c17db948e37a039cf4e6416d6e2
0xd430f82e98dc1c17db948e37a039cf4e6416d6e2
- Realised P&L
- $2.87
- Volume
- $94.73
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $9.22
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.365 | $1.59 | +$0.59 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? · No | 0.420 | 0.665 | $1.58 | +$0.58 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.810 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No | 0.590 | 0.795 | $1.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.515 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.500 | 0.470 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.500 | $0.81 | −$0.19 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.800 | 0.490 | $0.61 | −$0.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.32at 0.237Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?
- +$1.54at 0.400SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 23?
- +$1.27at 0.440US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?
- +$1.20at 0.460Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:41 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 04:41 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $182.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:40 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 11:57 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 03:04 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 16:45 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:53 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:52 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:01 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:28 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:50 | Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 10:50 | Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 02:50 | Will Trump say "Melania" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 18:28 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |