0xd429390c3c3585c00c7211b2221ca9839e6f81ce
- Realised P&L
- $52.89
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $8.65
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 16? · Down | 0.680 | 0.725 | $3.20 | +$0.20 |
| Solana Up or Down on September 16? · Down | 0.840 | 0.885 | $3.16 | +$0.16 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 16? · Up | 0.360 | 0.275 | $2.29 | −$0.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.80at 0.032Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
- +$24.99at 0.113Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
- +$16.37at 0.238Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
- +$14.47at 0.180Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$12.62at 0.201XRP Up or Down - September 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 07:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9099996679 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET | BUY | 0.8699999652 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 06:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 06:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.12 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 06:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 06:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 09-16 06:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |