45ssst
0xd427a4de9532ff6be59166f6e810e5f48e32b6ef
- Realised P&L
- $29.93
- Volume
- $978.11
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $130.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.961 | 0.982 | $130.80 | +$2.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.71at 0.850 Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$4.24at 0.960Base airdrop in 2024?
- +$2.54at 0.980Base airdrop in Q1 2025?
- +$0.77at 0.994Base airdrop in Q2 2025?
- +$0.39at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 12:23 | Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.961 | $128.00 |
| 12-19 13:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $128.40 |
| 09-21 04:31 | Base airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.9969999972 | $128.02 |
| 05-02 09:02 | Base airdrop in Q2 2025? | BUY | 0.994 | $127.25 |
| 02-15 10:06 | Base airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.9799999994 | $124.70 |
| 01-03 05:32 | Berachain airdrop in Q1 2025? | BUY | 0.8499999932 | $106.00 |
| 10-29 02:39 | Base airdrop in 2024? | BUY | 0.96 | $101.76 |
| 09-26 08:04 | Base airdrop by September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $101.65 |