PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Exertoh

0xd427a22958dae8ba8bb05ea4e42778343c3605ad

Realised P&L
$7.9k
Volume
$1.19M
Markets traded
599
Open portfolio
$0.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded599
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0110.001$0.49−$10.54
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.0600.002$0.01−$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 06:43Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?SELL0.06$16.44
09-19 13:26Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?SELL0.01541411$15.41
09-17 19:33Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?SELL0.15$21.75
09-01 15:30Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?SELL0.002793738$3.41
08-28 01:39Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?SELL0.001$3.36
08-28 01:00Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in August 2026?SELL0.008$0.64
08-22 15:37Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?SELL0.001$2.46
08-20 21:14Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?SELL0.011$2.57
08-19 15:42Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 17 to August 19, 2026?BUY0.007$0.07
07-29 14:38Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?SELL0.111$11.10
07-24 15:24Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?SELL0.0047641483$9.61
07-09 23:54Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?SELL0.004$3.70
07-08 01:43Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?SELL0.215$84.06
07-07 16:13Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?SELL0.001$0.48
07-06 10:09Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?SELL0.002$2.32