0xd423e340f159718145bcf5adb8028b0612bb99e9
0xd423e340f159718145bcf5adb8028b0612bb99e9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $109.4k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $348.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 40.5 · Over | 0.560 | 0.390 | $348.21 | −$151.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$896.96at 0.225Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-08-29?
- +$668.35at 0.228Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$491.29at 0.357Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$463.39at 0.520Spread: Giants (-2.5)
- +$415.01at 0.475Spread: RSC Anderlecht (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 16:08 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $500.00 |
| 09-27 15:45 | Spread: Giants (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5176556411 | $500.00 |
| 09-26 14:53 | Spread: Washington (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5499999993 | $292.91 |
| 09-26 14:52 | Spread: Washington (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $350.00 |
| 09-25 14:33 | Spread: Navy (-7.5) | BUY | 0.56 | $361.83 |
| 09-24 21:08 | Falcons vs. Packers: 1H O/U 22.5 | BUY | 0.5691741043 | $344.58 |
| 09-24 21:07 | Spread: Germany (-1.5) | SELL | 0.4344243388 | $174.78 |
| 09-24 21:05 | Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | SELL | 0.4325028291 | $183.45 |
| 09-24 15:58 | Spread: Norway (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3883575244 | $243.80 |
| 09-22 22:51 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.689999999 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 13:29 | Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4715127698 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 13:29 | Spread: Germany (-1.5) | BUY | 0.497116723 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 13:28 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 13:27 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 07:20 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4267990067 | $200.00 |