PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xD41f0fBB1Eb5c714ee7C134A17ae5a9F850e89A6-1761079238274

0xd41f0fbb1eb5c714ee7c134a17ae5a9f850e89a6

Realised P&L
$346.60
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$523.07

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.4780.675$378.43+$110.61
Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.5600.595$144.64+$8.51
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00−$15.00
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore · Royal Challengers Bangalore0.5300.000$0.00−$24.57
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00−$25.00
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians · Mumbai Indians0.6200.000$0.00−$50.00
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad · Chennai Super Kings0.1700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$36.00
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals · Sunrisers Hyderabad0.2000.000$0.00−$29.00
Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? · Yes0.3460.000$0.00−$25.00
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan O/U 0.5 · Under0.6400.000$0.00−$25.00
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Austria0.6900.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$11.00
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina0.6700.000$0.00−$25.00
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score · No0.5500.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 13:21Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.56$136.14
10-15 21:15Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.48$207.32
07-29 00:06Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.7752822565$38.76
07-27 14:28Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.497$7.70
07-19 20:31Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.48$24.00
07-15 20:50England vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5474999779$9.00
07-15 20:49Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?SELL0.14$9.00
07-15 19:27Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.27999999$18.00
07-09 20:08Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.3649999944$25.00
07-07 21:26Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.18$8.31
07-07 20:15Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2599999848$12.00
07-07 16:36Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?BUY0.3462466776$25.00
07-06 16:58Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.5099999988$25.00
07-06 02:53Will England win on 2026-07-05?SELL0.7$37.23
07-06 02:25Spread: England (-1.5)SELL0.51$29.13