0xD41f0fBB1Eb5c714ee7C134A17ae5a9F850e89A6-1761079238274
0xd41f0fbb1eb5c714ee7c134a17ae5a9f850e89a6
- Realised P&L
- $346.60
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $523.07
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.37at 0.539Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?
- +$47.51at 0.677Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$43.02at 0.372Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$40.40at 0.570Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$39.67at 0.833Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 13:21 | Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.56 | $136.14 |
| 10-15 21:15 | Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.48 | $207.32 |
| 07-29 00:06 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.7752822565 | $38.76 |
| 07-27 14:28 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.497 | $7.70 |
| 07-19 20:31 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.00 |
| 07-15 20:50 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5474999779 | $9.00 |
| 07-15 20:49 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.14 | $9.00 |
| 07-15 19:27 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.27999999 | $18.00 |
| 07-09 20:08 | Spread: France (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3649999944 | $25.00 |
| 07-07 21:26 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.18 | $8.31 |
| 07-07 20:15 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2599999848 | $12.00 |
| 07-07 16:36 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.3462466776 | $25.00 |
| 07-06 16:58 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 07-06 02:53 | Will England win on 2026-07-05? | SELL | 0.7 | $37.23 |
| 07-06 02:25 | Spread: England (-1.5) | SELL | 0.51 | $29.13 |