0xd418eb769b70a83c0c674c9cb576df16f4c8b7a0
0xd418eb769b70a83c0c674c9cb576df16f4c8b7a0
- Realised P&L
- $-207.68
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 214
- Open portfolio
- $5.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded214
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.485 | $5.00 | −$1.70 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 5? · No | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.71at 0.259Flyers vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5
- +$9.03at 0.618Spread: Stars (-1.5)
- +$5.98at 0.551Ethereum Up or Down - December 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$5.64at 0.266Ducks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5
- +$5.51at 0.245Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 06:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999854 | $6.70 |
| 10-05 06:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.2984210526 | $7.09 |
| 10-05 05:00 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $10.45 |
| 10-05 04:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $9.49 |
| 10-05 04:56 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 5? | SELL | 0.4 | $1.45 |
| 10-05 00:47 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $7.80 |
| 10-05 00:35 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on October 5? | BUY | 0.3699999613 | $1.34 |
| 10-05 00:25 | Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 5? | BUY | 0.0140424955 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999278 | $1.80 |
| 06-08 17:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | BUY | 0.509999793 | $1.01 |
| 06-08 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $0.71 |
| 06-08 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 17:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $1.49 |
| 06-08 17:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999227 | $1.16 |
| 06-07 22:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET | SELL | 0.67 | $2.39 |