0xd4186887c0f3330dd0fc25e72d1d34bfa0d807a4
- Realised P&L
- $-990.19
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $7.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-26.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.040 | $7.21 | −$7.21 |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin · Spencer Johnson | 0.605 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$991.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$550.42at 0.392Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal?
- +$310.74at 0.674Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstat
- +$25.93at 0.575Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 02:47 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin | BUY | 0.6099999936 | $2.86 |
| 08-24 02:47 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin | BUY | 0.6099999781 | $9.46 |
| 08-24 02:46 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin | BUY | 0.6099999952 | $40.85 |
| 08-24 02:46 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin | BUY | 0.6099999989 | $176.36 |
| 08-24 02:46 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Spencer Johnson vs Cristian Garin | BUY | 0.6030851737 | $762.27 |
| 08-21 23:14 | Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.5599999755 | $6.39 |
| 08-21 23:14 | Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.56 | $27.79 |
| 08-21 23:10 | Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstat | BUY | 0.6595201271 | $119.02 |
| 08-21 23:10 | Prague 2: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Jan Kumstat | BUY | 0.6595489752 | $509.77 |
| 08-03 15:29 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.2918233986 | $81.83 |
| 08-01 19:24 | Will Patrick Mahomes win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.08 | $14.42 |
| 08-01 19:23 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3662923177 | $51.19 |
| 08-01 01:45 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.4659999918 | $24.76 |
| 08-01 01:45 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.466582087 | $84.65 |
| 07-31 22:51 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.19 |